The US Treasury yield curve continues to spread and has reached the 52-week bill. The Fed is being told by the market it will be CUTTING rates, soon.
Foreign institutions have been merrily losing money on US Treasury holdings for years, buying high and selling low - are they insane? No.
The Economist recounts how the pandemic led to a goods-consumption-boom and whether post-pandemic economics means normalization, or a services boom or a recession.
The Economist draws attention to Britain's 15-year economic "slow-burning crisis" its "long-standing" economic "chronic disease".
The US labor market offers both optimistic and pessimistic data points regarding the economic outlook. Does the value of the US dollar break the tie?
Steven Van Metre and Jeff Snider have partnered together to bring financial information, investment advice and monetary education to the public.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is forecasting the median result of its model predicts negative output growth in 2022 and 2023.
Fed data reveals that there has been no material change in rate of money creation. Not in the US, not in the rest of the world.
Japanese and German trade data suggest the world is suffering through a price illusion: trade value is up because prices are up but actual trade by volume / trade by weight is falling.
The latest PMIs and manufacturing index suggest the United States is heading towards a recession soon (maybe already?).